The small and hitherto very prosperous nation of Iceland seems likely to go bankrupt. At the moment they don’t have even enough foreign exchange to import food (which they can’t grow themselves), and because Icelandic banks have defaulted on British depositors, Britain has rather ludicrously declared Iceland to be a terrorist nation. The future is uncertain, but it seems sure that every Icelander will see a big decline in their standard of living, and that includes many who never really profited from the recent boom.
That’s just introductory. Up until a year ago, the Icelandic miracle was one of the big success stories of globalization and financial deregulation. The rest of this post will just be links and citations, most of them obsolete and highly embarrassing.
Update: Iceland as a terrorist nation
They may not have dressed up in burkas and strapped several kilos of Semtex around their waists. But to go into the high street, persuade charities, pensioners, local authorities to deposit money and then disappear, having trousered nigh on £8bn is, even by City standards, bad. Financial terrorism, grand larceny, call it what you will…..
Deregulation brings boom time to Iceland (Nov. 9 2007)
The catalyst for a dramatic turn-around was the deregulation of the formerly state-controlled financial sector. The move unleashed an unprecedented credit boom and helped to create a business elite now known locally as the billionaire boys club. Flush with cash raised domestically and from international markets and headed by fresh-faced entrepreneurial chief executives, firms such as Bakkavor Group, FL Group and Baugur have used Reykjavik as an unlikely base for aggressive overseas expansion.
Bank Introductions.com (July 4, 2005)
The Icelandic economy is transforming in a postive way since the currency crisis of the 1980’s from the old collective institutions to government now privatizing sectors and implementing free market reforms opening up this small economy. During the 1980’s, less than satisfactory political management resulted in a currency collapse for the Icelandic krona in that era…..If the government is committed to opening up foreign investment more, especially in areas like energy, Iceland’s future looks tremendously prosperous….Prime Minister Halldor Asgrimsson has been in power since September 2004. Free market reforms under former Prime Minister Oddsson led Iceland from 1991-2004 who spearheaded this economic transformation……During the 1990’s, the Icelandic economy strengthened as deregulation and privatization policies were implemented replacing the former slow growth protectionist and a highly regulated economy hiding behind capital controls.
Newsweek: The Iceman Cometh (May 23, 2005)
Since the mid-‘ 90s, the country’s center-right government has pushed free-market reforms–privatizing banks, ditching price controls and slashing taxes. Companies now pay just 18 percent on profits, down from 50 percent. “The same economic laws apply whether a country is small or large,” says Finance Minister Geir Haarde. “We are experiencing the fruits of a very determined and consistent policy.”
Miracle on Iceland (Wall Street Journal, January 29, 2004)
Having stabilized the economy with monetary and fiscal restraint, the Oddsson government started privatizing. It began with small companies, later turning to large fish-processing plants, factories and financial companies. All the commercial banks are now in private hands. Altogether, the sales brought in $1 billion, not a bad haul for a country of 280,000. Only one large company remains, Icelandic Telephone, but it will soon be put on the sales block.
Mont Pelerin Society conference in Iceland (2005): The Mont Pelerin Society are hardcore free marketers. Not much info at the link itself, but I wish I had access to this archive from their conference.
Hannes H. Gissurarson has recently published an article in the Wall Street Journal European edition, on the Icelandic economic miracle. Newsweek has also published an article about the Icelandic economic miracle, interviewing Finance Minister Geir H. Haarde.
NOTE: If you click these links you will find that not only has this story been pulled from the internet, but the whole mps-iceland.org site has been redirected to a junk site, with no Mont Pelerin Society content at all. Brave, brave Mont Pelerin Society! (The MPS’s main website is password-protected and members-only.)
The Virtues of a Free Market System (05-25-2008): I included this piece because the passage below is so freaky.
Free market economic systems are the best way for a country to create wealth and get out of poverty. If we look at the top ten countries based on the UN Human Development Index, we find that highly deregulated countries are in the top ten, namely; 1. Norway 2. Iceland 3. Australia 4. Luxembourg 5. Canada 6. Sweden 7. Switzerland 8. Ireland 9. Belgium 10. United States. As you will note from the above there is no country in the top ten that is socialist in any shape or form.
Update: I now see that “The Virtues of the Free Market System” is from a company which ghosts undergrad papers. I should have left it out but it’s just too funny. The humor may have been intentional on the part of the ghostwriter.
It’s so damn hard to tell when those folks are serious.
So much for the ‘free’ market. Now what?
Unfortunately, Britain’s Blairite authoritarians didn’t spend enough time taming the market. That country has been badly wounded by the credit crisis, as have other nations that moved too enthusiastically into free-market deregulation including Ireland and Iceland. Nations that were slower to deregulate, like Canada, have fared better. Prime Minister Stephen Harper is right when he says that. What’s ironic is that if he and other aficionados of the unfettered free-market had been in charge earlier, Canada’s financial system might well be in more trouble than it is.
2009: One of the architects of disaster whines about leftism
With the formation of the Sigurdardottir government, Iceland has taken a sharp turn to the left. Unused to adversity, Icelanders are bewildered and angry. The new government is taking advantage of the economic collapse to go after its political enemies.
An Icelandic response to the above
Milton Friedmanism and the Meltdown in Iceland. Just for fun I’ll finish up with this:
What is somewhat incredible is the apparent lack of remorse or self-reflection and doubt being expressed by the ideologues who put these policies in place and caused this economic and financial meltdown. Amazingly, many neo-cons continue to argue that this was caused by regulations that were too strong, or by a confluence of unlikely events, including a rise in “leftist attitudes“.
November 15, 2008 at 4:51 pm
For added historical convergence, some libertarians will go on at length about how medieval Iceland shows that you can have a society with only private law enforcement, or something. There’s something about Iceland that figures in romantic free-marketeerism.
Jared Diamond writes about Iceland in Collapse, pointing out that it’s the most environmentally damaged country in Europe. He says that the conservatism (in the Burkean sense) of Icelandic society may serve the important purpose of keeping social change from continuing to damage their environment before they realize what’s going on. Looks like they could have used a bit more conservatism of that sort this time.
November 15, 2008 at 6:10 pm
I’ve read a couple of the sagas, and what happened with private law enforcement was that the largest clan bullied everyone else. Every once in awhile a superman type would come along that no one could defeat, but eventually he’d either be overwhelmed by numbers or killed by treachery. Or else he would become a local bully.
Black-Michaud’s “Cohesive Force” studies feud as a form of order in stateless societies, which have survived until very recently in the Balkans, the Caucasus, the Atlas mountains, parts of Tibert, etc.
BTW, thanks for pitching in on that thread we were on together, wherever it was.
And finally: want to be a front page troll here? Emersonj at gmail.
November 15, 2008 at 7:32 pm
Curiously, this represents the fourth time in fifty years that Britain has effectively declared war on Iceland. I don’t think it has shown such concerted belligerence against a single enemy since the Dutch Wars of the seventeenth century.
November 15, 2008 at 7:53 pm
That libertarian/Iceland thread is bizarre, since even the most cursory reading of the sagas makes medieval Iceland sounds exciting but completely dysfunctional. Njal’s Saga is like a public service announcement for the wisdom of a centralized state.
November 16, 2008 at 5:28 am
you people do realize that sagas are not historical works don’t you?
November 16, 2008 at 6:57 am
As you will note from the above there is no country in the top ten that is socialist in any shape or form.
Wow. Awesome.
November 16, 2008 at 11:34 am
Hey, you got a link from Yves Smith!
November 16, 2008 at 12:09 pm
One category of saga is historical — certainly they’re more historical than libertarian fictions. But in any case, I listed Black Michaud’s book, which is historical.
Events in the sagas, while fictional (or written long after the fact, and partly legendary, in the case of the historical sagas) square reasonably well with historical descriptions of other non-state societies.
The life of the most famous author of sagas, while not saga-like in its heroism, was saga-like in its violence. But Snorri was an agent of the Norwegian king so perhaps he was misrepresenting the idyllic libertarian age of Iceland.
November 16, 2008 at 3:38 pm
It’s true that the historical fictions of contemporaries provide a less of a clue than the ideological speculations of libertarians a nearly a millenium later. I stand corrected.
November 16, 2008 at 3:40 pm
sorry, but what is your point? I have come here expecting an actual explanation. You’ve compiled a list of quotes that don’t explain anything.
If this is a joke, I don’t get it. I mean i get how you think it’s ironic how everybody thought Iceland was great until things went pear-shaped.
Maybe you should change the title to more appropriately reflect the content?
November 16, 2008 at 3:55 pm
Vic, elsewhere I explained that it is a joke, but neglected to do so here. Knowing that, hopefully you can figure out my point. But if you’re an economic historian doing your research via blog, I’m afraid you’re out of luck.
The sagas were written in the 13th century about events from about two centuries earlier. When writing about historical events, the broad facts tend to be mostly accurate, but even the historical sagas are partly fictionalized.
In cases like this authors often project the society of their own time back into the past time, while also keeping legends of various kinds alive. At the time when the sagas were written Iceland was still stateless, however, so even if the authors were projecting thirteenth century life back into eleventh century life, the sagas can still be used as suggestive evidence of what stateless societies were like.
November 16, 2008 at 5:52 pm
Trader Vic, the general thrust of the quotes are completely clear. Iceland went bankrupt because they believed the hype.
November 16, 2008 at 8:42 pm
So, they gambled, first they won a little, and then they lost big time; isn’t that the story in a nutshell?
What’s so amusing here – that there are people who believe they can beat the system?
November 16, 2008 at 10:00 pm
[…] https://trollblog.wordpress.com/2008/11/15/how-did-iceland-go-bankrupt/. […]
November 16, 2008 at 10:10 pm
There’s nothing amusing here at all. For Iceland and its people it’s a catastrophe.
To see clearly how close the Icelandic leaders were to the elite of neo-liberalism, just go to http://www.mps-iceland.org/?gluggi=iceland&nafn=iceland/impact (next to the link which John Emerson pointed out). It proudly shows photos of David Oddsson (Prime Minister, 1991-99 and author of Iceland’s reforms) and Geir Haarde (present Prime Minister) with Friedrich von Hayek, Milton Friedman and James Buchanan in the 1980s. It refers to Oddsson’s ‘ambitious (and successful [/sic/]) programme’.
Thank you, John, for a very informative page.
November 16, 2008 at 10:36 pm
Buchanan doesn’t have a big public presence, but I’ve a read a few things about him and it’s been intense. I actually agree with him that economics is only half a science and should normative and political. But reading the autobiographical and less-technical stuff he’s written, all the evidence is that his politics and ethics are about the same as those any other white Southern landowner, and there are trace signs of authoritarianism and bigotry. He reminds me of George Will a lot.
November 16, 2008 at 10:39 pm
Someone would be doing a big service by getting into the Mount Pelerin archives and finding out what they were saying when thigs were still going well.
November 16, 2008 at 11:55 pm
Thanks for the offer of front-page-dom, John. I may take you up on that, depending on how much trolling there is to be done in the new brand new shiny era. (I can feel an “Against Moderates” bubbling somewhere in the background.)
November 17, 2008 at 8:00 am
John Emerson said, “all the evidence is that his politics and ethics are about the same as those any other white Southern landowner, and there are trace signs of authoritarianism and bigotry. He reminds me of George Will a lot.” In future, kindly stop with the labeling, and start providing data which is salient to the information at hand.
November 17, 2008 at 10:33 am
Not the first time this happened of course: back in 2002/03 you could’ve done the same exercise with Argentine and before that New Zealand. Any small country that gets suckered into becoming the neo-liberal gold standard sooner or later sees its economy collapse hard.
November 17, 2008 at 1:30 pm
Therealjg, kindly stop with the commenting on my blog. It really takes a lot of nerve to butt in on a conversation between two people you don’t know and tell them what they should be saying. Buchanan seems to be a classic bigot.
Martin, probably this is more vivid to us now because we fear that we will be next.
November 17, 2008 at 5:16 pm
Icelandic trolls are no match for British heroes. Jack and the Beanstalk is a cautionary tale.
November 17, 2008 at 6:08 pm
If I understand the Iceland incident correctly, it’s different from Argentina and New Zealand. Argentina got the ‘developing country’ treatment, and in New Zealand the whole economy was restructured and turned up side down. In Iceland it was mostly the financial sector, just some gambling on the side, no?
November 17, 2008 at 6:58 pm
I’m very far from being an expert on Iceland, as someone pointed out on my other site (SeeingtheForest.com). However, Iceland as a nation, under utopian neolib leadership, seems to have bet the farm on an outsized and globalized financial sector like Switzerland’s or Leichtenstein’s — but a fragile, New Age, prosperity theology type financial sector (perhaps a kind of offshoring like the Caymans.)
Iceland’s population is about 300,000, approximately the same as that of the Kalamazoo metropolitan area.
November 17, 2008 at 8:38 pm
Why economic miracles always turn out to be some illusionists’ tricks?
November 18, 2008 at 12:08 am
[…] How Did Iceland Go Bankrupt? The small and hitherto very prosperous nation of Iceland seems likely to go bankrupt. At the moment they don’t […] […]
January 26, 2009 at 7:22 pm
Capitalism is meant to produce capital, but dont blame it on capitalism because you decided to gamble with debt in the free markets and loose, thats your own fault or your leadership fault for not putting a stop to this wreckless gambling behaviour.
January 27, 2009 at 3:20 pm
What’s your point? What I said is the runaway free-market cargo-cultism destroyed Iceland’s economy. Do you disagree? And yes, it’s one form of capitalism, but not the only one.
October 1, 2009 at 7:45 pm
Dear John,
I have a blog (such as it is) in Iceland.
Would it be ok to link to your site?
Best,
DB
October 1, 2009 at 8:01 pm
Great! Go ahead.
January 8, 2010 at 9:56 pm
[…] is “Iceland”? Iceland is land, an island called Ísland. Ísland is .is. Published […]
March 23, 2011 at 12:22 pm
[…] How did Iceland go Bankrupt? […]